Cuba has announced it
is to end the unpopular dual currency system which has sharpened inequalities
on the Communist island, the latest in a series of reforms aimed at relaxing
its Soviet-style economy.
Since 1994 a two-tier
structure of national pesos and convertible pesos has created a stark divide
between most ordinary Cubans and the fortunate few with access to the more
valuable tourist currency. The system was initially intended to shield the
country’s Communist project from the capitalist ways of the outside world, but
under President Raul Castro it has become a key target of the reforms he says
are essential to Cuba’s economic survival.
An official notice
published in the state newspaper Granma on Tuesday said the council of
ministers had approved a timetable for implementing “measures that will lead to
monetary and exchange unifaction”.
“(Unification) is
imperative to guarantee the reestablishment of the Cuban peso’s value and its
role as money, that is as a unit of accounting, means of payment and savings,”
it said.
However few further
details were offered as to how the complex system and the byzantine accounting
practices which surround it will be untangled, a challenging feat which could
risk major economic upheaval on the already struggling island.
Cuba adopted the dual
currency system after the fall of the Soviet Union, when the loss in support
and trade revenues from its former backer forced the island to open up to
foreign tourism and investment. Hoping to protect the Communist project from
the dangers of international capitalism, the government introduced the
convertible peso for use in the tourism industry and foreign trade.
Pegged to the dollar,
the convertible peso (CUC) it is worth 25 times the national peso (CUP) in
which most Cubans operate. It is also, crucially, the only currency accepted in
many stores, restaurants and for foreign exchange, affording those who can
access it - mostly Cubans with official ties - a lifestyle from which ordinary
citizens are effectively barred.
As well as broadening
the gap between a struggling majority and an affluent elite, it has also had
some bizarre effects on Cuban society, where a waiter or hotel cleaner can earn
far more in tourist tips earn than a doctor or lawyer paid in national pesos.
In July, Mr Castro
declared that the dual currency was “one of the most important obstacles to the
progress of the nation”. He has embarked on a series of economic reforms - such
as allowing Cubans to run private businesses and buy and sell property - that
he says are intended not to dismantle socialism but ensure its future on the
island.
Cuban economists have
welcomed the unification but warn that it faces major obstacles. As well as
risking a spike in inflation, it could shake up the social and economic
hierarchy, potentially stirring public discontent on the island.
It would also
eliminate a huge financial bonus to state-run enterprises at a time when cash
is so short. Despite the large disparity in value between the two currencies, the
Cuban government treats them as equal in official accounts, meaning state
entities are getting them at a 1-to-1 subsidised rate.
“Whoever is getting
these dollars at one-to-one is doing well, and that’s the official sector,”
Rafael Romeu, former president of the U.S.-based Association for the Study of
the Cuban Economy, told the Associated Press earlier this month. He said the
state may not be able to manage an abrupt changeover. “They would be basically
confronting their budget constraint in a serious way, and I don’t think they
are ready to do that,” Mr Romeu explained. “They would have to cut a lot of
social services.”
The unification of the
two currencies is expected to be a gradual process that will take up to 18
months, according to Cuban economists, and will involve devaluing the
convertible peso and possibly revaluing the national peso.
The official
communique said the government would make good on the value of the CUC by
announcing any devaluation and giving people time to convert their holdings. It
said it would start by introducing changes in the business sector and extend
them to individuals at a later date.
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